Thursday, February 4, 2010

Various Current Events

A crime theory demolished (Heather MacDonald) (WSJ)
Haiti arrests 10 Baptists over child rescue (Christian Post)
Case stokes Haiti’s fear for children (NYT)
Strong on zeal, thin on knowledge (Christianity Today)
LaHood scares Toyota owners (CBS)
LaHood backtracks on statement (CBS)
WH: No conflict in LaHood’s gaffe (CBS)
Study says abstinence programs may work (Wash Post)
Case for abstinence education (Heritage Fdn)
IPCC embarrassed again (Telegraph)
AZ may ease gun laws (AZ Republic)
Phoenix to tax food 2% (AZ Republic)
New DPS director critical on speed cameras (AZ Republic)
CA bill would protect clergy who won’t marry gays (SF Chronicle)
MA adds brushing to preschool regimen (NYT)
Scott Brown sworn into Senate (CBS)
Lancet retracts paper linking vaccine to autism (Wash Post)
An online reality show about abortion (Wash Post)
How accurate is Punxsutawney Phil? (CS Monitor)
Gallup poll, America is conservative (Gallup)
Warner: Jesus brought me here (Christian Post)
Atheists upset about Mother Theresa stamp (Christian Post)
TN school board OKs Bible standards (Christian Post)
PETA wants robot instead of Groundhog (CS Monitor)
Deficits are serious (NYT)
Verdict against vigilantism (NYT)
Playing to learn (NYT)

2 comments:

Naum said...

A different take…
Why Homicide Declined in American Cities during the First Six Months of 2009

Why the sudden drop in urban homicide? Conservative theories about deterrence can’t explain it, nor can liberal theories about economic well-being. Because of the recession there have been fewer police on the streets and the unemployment rate is high. Drug use is still widespread. The proportion of teenagers and young adults in the population has grown, now that the baby boomers’ children are coming of age. The Times suggested that it was “time to call in one of those clairvoyants who help detectives solve the case,” since “no one else can explain what criminals have been doing in the first half of 2009.”

But not all criminologists were surprised by the sudden decline in urban homicide. In fact, in 2008 a number of people predicted that the homicide rate might decline, depending on who won the presidential election. Psychologists, sociologists, and historians now have a growing body of evidence that suggests that the rate of violence among unrelated adults is determined by the feelings people have toward their society and their government and the degree to which they trust their elected officials. Gary LaFree, the past president of the American Society of Criminology, pointed out that in recent years the strongest correlates of violence have been the proportion of Americans who trust the government to do the right thing most of the time and the proportion who believe most government officials are honest. When public opinion polls show that those proportions are high, as they were in the 1950s during the Eisenhower administration, the rate of violence has been low. When those proportions are low, as they have been more or less since the mid-1960s, the rate of violence has been high.

The relationship between violence and feelings about government tracks separately by race. The black homicide rate peaked between 1971 and 1974, when black trust in government reached its post-World War II low. The white homicide rate peaked in 1980 during the final year of the Carter administration, when white trust in government reached its postwar low because of accumulated anger over busing, welfare, affirmative action, the defeat in Vietnam, and the seizure of American hostages in Iran. That rate—7 per 100,000 white persons per year—was by itself three to fifteen times the homicide rate in other affluent nations.

Why does faith in government have a profound impact on interpersonal violence? How people feel about the government plays an important role in determining how they feel about themselves and society. If people believe that their government shares their values, speaks for them and acts on their behalf, they feel greater self-respect and gain confidence in their dealings with people outside their families. What matters is that citizens feel represented, included, and empowered. When people doubt the honesty and competence of public officials and question the legitimacy of their government, especially on the national level, they can feel frustrated, alienated, and dishonored. And those feelings, in turn, can stimulate the hostile, defensive, and predatory feelings that lead to violence against friends, acquaintances, and strangers. Trust in government is not the only prerequisite for lower rates of violence, but it is a powerful one, and we have now traced a persistent correlation between such trust and low homicide rates through the histories of dozens of nations reaching back at least as far as the seventeenth century.

Naum said...

Retired Officers Raise Questions on Crime Data

In interviews with the criminologists, other retired senior officers cited examples of what the researchers believe was a periodic practice among some precinct commanders and supervisors: checking eBay, other Web sites, catalogs or other sources to find prices for items that had been reported stolen that were lower than the value provided by the crime victim. They would then use the lower values to reduce reported grand larcenies — felony thefts valued at more than $1,000, which are recorded as index crimes under CompStat — to misdemeanors, which are not, the researchers said.

Others also said that precinct commanders or aides they dispatched sometimes went to crime scenes to persuade victims not to file complaints or to urge them to change their accounts in ways that could result in the downgrading of offenses to lesser crimes, the researchers said.